Currency news

USD corrects ahead of jobs report

Head of FX Analysis at Equals Money
-
3
min read
Published:
December 6, 2024
  • Nonfarm payroll day – strong number needed to support USD
  • Marine Le Pen believes budget can be delivered in weeks


Yesterday's currency recap

USD continued to lose ground ahead of today's job numbers, seeing GBPUSD hit three-week highs and EURUSD come against a prior resistance level.

Over in France, Marine Le Pen commented that she feels France can deliver a Budget in "a matter of weeks" so long as the next PM is prepared to narrow the deficit at a slower pace. EUR continued to eek out steady gains.

Today's GBP rates

Currency pair Daily move* Indicative rate**
GBPAUD 0.28% 1.9807
GBPCAD 0.10% 1.7891
GBPCHF -0.13% 1.1216
GBPDKK -0.14% 8.9977
GBPEUR -0.14% 1.2066
GBPJPY 0.11% 191.4790
GBPNOK 0.40% 14.0943
GBPNZD 0.04% 2.1715
GBPSEK -0.02% 13.8717
GBPUSD 0.40% 1.2751


*Daily move - against
G10 rates at 7:30am, 06.12.24

** Indicative rates - interbank rates at 7:30am, 06.12.24

Key data points

Currency Event Period Consensus Previous
EUR GDP QoQ Q3 Final 0.40% 0.40%
EUR GDP YoY Q3 Final 0.90% 0.90%
USD Nonfarm Payrolls Nov 215,000 12,000
USD Unemployment Rate Nov 4.10% 4.10%
USD Average Hourly Earnings MoM Nov 0.30% 0.40%
USD Average Hourly Earnings YoY Nov 3.90% 4.00%

What we think

The USD has been correcting steadily throughout this week, with data and Federal Reserve (Fed) commentary firming up the odds of the a 25bps rate cut on the 18th of December.

Today, all eyes are on the US job figures, with market analysts anticipating a rebound of around 215,000 new jobs. However, to truly ignite a currency surge, we're looking for an increase of over 300,000—setting the bar sky-high!

We could continue to see a higher GBPUSD and EURUSD by close of play today, as the Trump-led USD rally continues to correct. This is a good opportunity for USD buyers.

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