Currency news

USD benefits from CPI and Bostic

Head of FX Analysis at Equals Money
-
3
min read
Published:
October 11, 2024
    • Bostic says he's comfortable with ‘skipping’ a rate cut
    • UK autumn budget leaks impact GBP


    Yesterday's currency recap

    USD is still riding a wave of gains, supported by a slightly higher than expected September CPI and Fed Bostic's openness to "skipping" a rate cut if future data support it.

    Initial jobless claims came in marginally higher than expected and slightly tempered USD gains.

    GBP had a jab thrown at it yesterday afternoon when autumn budget rumours suggested that capital gains tax may rise from present levels to between 33%-39%.

    UK GDP in August rose to 0.2%, in line with expectations, but this has barely had any impact on GBP today.

    Today's GBP rates

    Currency pair Daily move* Indicative rate**
    GBPAUD -0.34% 1.9386
    GBPCAD 0.18% 1.7956
    GBPCHF -0.50% 1.1194
    GBPDKK 0.04% 8.9149
    GBPEUR 0.04% 1.1949
    GBPJPY -0.60% 193.9900
    GBPNOK -0.50% 14.0198
    GBPNZD -0.49% 2.1451
    GBPSEK -0.11% 13.5764
    GBPUSD -0.12% 1.3056


    *Daily move - against
    G10 rates at 7:30am, 11.10.24

    ** Indicative rates - interbank rates at 7:30am, 11.10.24

    Key data points

    Currency Event Period Consensus Previous
    USD Core PPI MoM Sep 0.20% 0.30%
    USD Core PPI YoY Sep 2.60% 2.40%
    USD PPI MoM Sep 0.10% 0.20%
    USD PPI YoY Sep 1.60% 1.70%

    What we think

    If we see an uptick in the US PPI numbers today market reaction could be similar to yesterday. With tensions in the Middle East still simmering away as well, USD seems likely to be supported going into the weekend.

    Next week will be a big one for GBP with the release of job and inflation numbers.

    Any indication that price and wage pressures are subsiding would likely prompt market expectations of the BoE accelerating its rate-cutting trajectory.

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